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Thursday, January 07, 2010

Lieberman poll

Some fascinating numbers from PPP:
Joe Lieberman’s actions on the health care bill antagonized constituents both for and against it, and in the wake of that he finds his approval rating at just 25% with 67% of voters in the state disapproving of him.

Lieberman has hit a low point with Democrats usually reserved for Republican politicians, with 81% of them disapproving of him to just 14% happy with his performance. Republicans give him bad marks by a 48/39 margin and independents do so by a 61/32 spread.

It’s clear that his actions on the Senate health care bill have made a large contribution to his falling popularity. 68% of voters say they disagree with how he handled the issue to just 19% giving him support. Among people who support the health care bill 84% say they disapprove of Lieberman’s actions but even among those opposed to the initiative 52% say they disagree with how Lieberman handled himself.

“Joe Lieberman isn’t popular enough with the Democrats or the Republicans to receive their nomination for the Senate in 2012,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “And since the independents don’t like him much these days either it’s hard to see how he’ll be around for another term.”
The real problem for Lieberman is that it's hard to see how he can get back to the 25% support he had among Democrats. Evidently his health care hypocrisy cut his meager Democratic support in half. That also means that just about any of the state's Democrats could knock him out in a primary.

Only a radical leftward shift could get him the party's nomination. Which isn't going to happen. So a run as a Republican may still be his best option. That could make him very dangerous through January, 2011. But no more than he's already been.

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