JUSIPER

Thursday, January 31, 2008

 
CT, CA, MA within reach?



Obama has allegedly pulled to within 3 in California, but many have already voted. Connecticut, according to Rasmussen, is 40-40 (pre-Edwards pullout). And in Massachusetts, Obama has gone from 30 points behind to just six, 43-37-11.

So what will happen to Edwards' 11%?'

Even before the news that Edwards was leaving the race, just 46% of his supporters were certain they would stick with him until Election Day. Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Edwards voters in Massachusetts have a favorable opinion of Obama while 58% have a favorable opinion of Clinton.

In the South, the Edwards vote is a populist, protectionist, pro-white male vote. In the Northeast, it's a left-leaning change vote. So while Hillary may now have a real shot at Alabama and Georgia, she may now lose Massachusetts and Connecticut.

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