JUSIPER
Saturday, July 28, 2007
Getting the Clintons back in
Worth losing a winnable election?
A new Rasmussen Reports Election 2008 survey shows former Senator John Edwards (D) opening up a seven-point lead of 49% to 42% over former Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R). In late June, the two contenders were tied, and earlier in that month Edwards held only a four-point lead.
The national telephone survey also shows Edwards recovering a double-digit advantage over former Senator Fred Thompson (R). Edwards now leads the actor-politician 50% to 39% in the presidential race. That’s a slight improvement for the Democrat compared to his nine point advantage in late June.
These numbers echo those of another recent poll, in which Democratic Senator Barack Obama grained ground as well against both Giuliani and Thompson.
Giuliani and Thompson are frontrunners for the Republican Presidential nomination while Obama and Edwards trail Senator Hillary Clinton in the race for the Democratic nomination. But both men generally fare better than Clinton in projected contests with leading GOP contenders. Thompson and Giuliani are essentially tied with Clinton in recent surveys. New polling data on Clinton match-ups with the GOP frontrunners will be released next week.
When matched against Giuliani, Edwards does better among men than women. The reverse is true when the match-up is between Edwards and Thompson.
The partisan lines are a bit less clear when Edwards is offered as the Democratic candidate rather than Clinton or Obama. More precisely, Republican voters are currently less opposed to Edwards than either Clinton or Obama. As a result, Giuliani and Thompson each attract only 68% of Republican votes when matched against Edwards.
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